it would be good to be writing about other things. In the near future, I will be writing about other things. But how can you not write about Donald Trump in these times?
I’ve been an observer of Donald Trump since the 1980s. If you lived in New York In the 80s or 90s, you couldn’t get away from him. He was on the front page of the New York Post seemingly every day. The good looking man about town, the guy who got things done.
To use a baseball metaphor, he was always one who swung for the fences.
In the early 1980s, New York City was in bad financial straits, at a time when Manny thought that cities were over, that everyone wanted to move to the suburbs. Trump made two brilliant decisions In this era- He built the beautiful Trump tower in 1983, And he was a major partner in the rebuilding of the old Commodore hotel, next to Grand Central terminal. Trump made an awful lot of money with these two Ventures, Which were very positive For New York City.
But no great batter swings for the fences every time. Trump did.
In the 1980s, Atlantic City arose as a center for legalize gambling. A number of gambling hotels were doing well there. In 1990, Trump, who already owned two casinos in Atlantic City, Swung for the fences and built Trump Taj Mahal, With an astonishing 2248 rooms, at a cost of $1 billion, financed by junk bonds. Many at the time thought that this hotel was way too big for Atlantic City. It was – Trump Taj Mahal went bankrupt. Then, after the creditors got screwed, Trump made it go of it again. It went bankrupt for a second time. The bondholder got four cents on the dollar. Trump’s fellow investors got less than that if anything.
Trump‘s swing for the fences led to many other bad decisions, including an airline that went out of business pretty quick, and his ill-fated purchase of the plaza hotel, which he sold at a loss. There were other bankruptcies. Trump somehow always did better off than the people who invested with him.
Now, the guy who swings for the fences every time is the president of the United States.
He’s done one very good thing – he has broken the back of the illegal alien trade on the Mexican border. unauthorized crossings are down well over 90%.
But he has also ruined our friendly relationship with Canada and with Western Europe. it was under Trump that trade deals with Canada and Mexico were struck in 2018; now Trump says that those 2018 Trump deals are no good.
Trump‘s mocking of Canada‘s Right to exist is even worse than his reneging on his trade deal with them. Many Canadians will never trust the US again. Canadians used to travel in huge numbers to New York City and Florida every year – not anymore.
Trump has long Said that our treaty allies don’t pay enough for their own defense. He’s been correct in that. Obama and Biden said the same thing. Some progress was made in this direction By some of the European countries, especially after Putin’s invasion of Ukraine. Trump deserves some of the credit for that Increased defense spending.
I think that NATO has been a huge American asset, and that it was always a huge Extension of American power, even when the Europeans were unwisely Skimping on their own defense costs.
Trump has repeatedly hinted at taking America out of NATO, or not defending NATO allies who didn’t spend enough. These comments have weakened American credibility.
The Imposition of huge tariffs by the US , against friend and foe,after a Bewildering, couple of months of threats, Are likely to damage not just the US economy, but the world economy. Many Average Americans own stock, either outright or via 401(k) pension plans - The value of these have gone down since Trump took office, They are likely to go down much further today.
The US has legitimate complaints against some of his trading partners, But I don’t see the EU or UK as particularly bad actors, and I don’t see Canada as being a bad actor at all.
The late Charlie Munger, who worked closely with Warren Buffett for many years at Berkshire Hathaway, Is regarded as one of the more astute and thoughtful investors in modern history. In 2011, before Trump ran for office the first time, Munger said that Trump was temperamentally unsuited for the office of the presidency.
The guy whose Taj Bondholders got four cents on the dollar is now driving the world economy into the rocks. He doesn’t know what he is doing.